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☆ Extreme greed is back on Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-25 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

That’s all heralded the return of extreme greed to Wall Street. The S&P 500 is up 2.6% and the Dow is 0.6% higher. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both on pace to score their sixth-straight winning sessions. CNN’s Fear and Greed Index, which tracks seven indicators of market sentiment in the United States, tipped into “Extreme Greed” this week, marking a stunning turnaround from just a few months ago, when the index was in Extreme Fear territory. The idea of a soft landing (when inflation rates ease and the economy avoids recession) is likely playing a big part.

Persons: we’re, ”, Lydia Boussour, “, Christopher Waller, Bill Gates, Henry Allen, Allen Organizations: New, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Gross, Commerce Department, Consumer, Federal, National Association for Business Economics, Fed, ” Financial, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, Investment, Deutsche Bank, Big Tech Locations: New York, United States

☆ Premarket stocks: why over-optimistic investors may want to pump the brakes
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

There’s plenty for investors to celebrate right now, but a look under the hood reveals quite a bit of decay. But it’s largely Big Tech that’s driving markets higher, and that concentration of gains in so few stocks carries inherent risk. But investors are adjusting expectations: Investors eventually get used to strong data, and come to expect it. “It’s hard for data to keep surprising in the same direction, since investors simply adjust their expectations,” said Allen. Just one month ago, more than 75% of investors thought the central bank would cut rates at their March meeting.

Persons: Bell, Debbie Downer, Wall, Dow, Germany’s DAX, Henry Allen, ”, Allen, Christopher Waller, That’s, Bill Gates, Larry Fink, Chris Isidore, “ I’m, Scott Kirby, they’ve, ” Kirby, Boeing Max, Max, Kirby, “ We’re, Samantha Delouya, Amy Reinhard, Netflix’s, “, we’ve Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nvidia, Microsoft, Investment, Deutsche Bank, Big Tech, Federal Reserve, University of, National Association of Business Economics, University of Michigan, Fed, ” Financial, BlackRock, Boeing United Airlines, Boeing, United, CNBC, Alaska Airlines, Federal Aviation Administration, United Airlines, Refinitiv, Max, FAA, Netflix Locations: New York, Europe

☆ Dollar hovers near 6-week high on Fed view; yen edges up after BOJ
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Japanese yen , though, ticked higher as expectations rose for a stimulus exit as soon as March, following hawkish comments from the Bank of Japan on Tuesday. "We have seen ECB (European Central Bank) officials push back on rate cut expectations as well, in line with the Federal Reserve." The dollar declined 0.17% to 148.085 yen, after swinging from as low as 146.99 and as high as 148.70 on Tuesday. The Bank of Canada meets on policy on Wednesday, and is expected to leave its key overnight rate unchanged at a 22-year high of 5%. Traders have unwound bullish positions built up in anticipation of U.S. approval of the country's first spot bitcoin exchange traded fund (ETF).

Persons: Mary Daly, Christopher Waller, James Kniveton, Christine Lagarde's, Sterling, Kazuo Ueda, China's, cryptocurrency, Bitcoin Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, U.S, San Francisco Fed, ECB, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Bloomberg, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ JPMorgan says investors wishing for early and aggressive rate cuts will be disappointed
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Rising geopolitical headwinds and the potential for political turmoil could combine to thwart investors' hopes for the Federal Reserve to enact sharp interest rate cuts this year, according to JPMorgan Chase strategists. Markets have been betting that the Fed likely will start lowering its benchmark short-term borrowing rate by May or even as early as March. JPMorgan's investment team said the calculus could be important for investors as stocks and other asset classes look for direction. In recent days, multiple Fed officials have made remarks insisting that they are in no hurry to start cutting rates. For the full year, traders have gone from a strong chance of six cuts to a coin-flip between five and six.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Raphael Bostic, Christopher Waller, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Federal Reserve, Chase, JPMorgan, U.S, Fed, European Central Bank, Atlanta Fed, Federal, Market, Traders, Commerce Department Locations: 1H24

☆ Fed’s Barkin: March rate cut isn’t out of the picture. ‘You make the call when you get to the meeting’
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

The positive economic developments as well as Fed officials’ forecasts for at least three rate cuts this year had investors eying a March pivot. Meanwhile, Barkin — who will also be voting on Fed policy decisions at meetings this year — isn’t ruling March out entirely. For Barkin, “the breadth of inflation settling” and “the consistency of inflation settling” matter in his evaluation of whether the inflation rate is approaching the Fed’s target. Unlike many Fed officials, Barkin does not have a PhD in economics but has an MBA and a law degree. Investors will be paying close attention to any hints of the timing of rate cuts in the central bank’s latest statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference.

Persons: Tom Barkin, Barkin, eying, Christopher Waller, “, Loretta Mester, Barkin —, isn’t, ” Barkin, ”, ” ‘ There’s, John Williams, Jerome Powell, Williams, “ There’s, Jerome Powell’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Richmond Federal, CNN, Fed, Cleveland Fed, FactSet, Richmond Fed, McKinsey, ” New York Fed, Raleigh Chamber of Commerce, That’s Locations: New York

☆ Markets tried to fight the Fed on rate cuts. It didn’t work
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Now there’s roughly a 50/50 chance that the Fed could either cut rates or hold them steady in March, according to futures. A few developments this past week tempered investors’ optimism, and now the possibility of a rate cut in March could be completely thrown out the window, according to economists. He echoed other Fed officials who’ve recently said that beginning to cut rates in March is just not realistic. In addition to officials’ comments, recent economic data also doesn’t bode well for a March rate cut. Markets are expecting twice as many rate cuts this year than what Fed officials themselves estimated in their latest economic projections released in December.

Persons: ’, Christopher Waller, ”, who’ve, Loretta Mester, “, Mary Daly, it’s, Daly, bode, Waller, ” Bill Adams, ” Daniel Altman, Jerome Powell’s, Donald Trump, Christine Lagarde, couldn’t, Jamie Dimon, Trump, Joe Biden, Bank of America’s Brian Moynihan, OpenAI’s Sam Altman, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Levi Strauss, Booz Allen Hamilton, CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN — Federal Reserve, Fed, Brookings Institution, ” Cleveland Fed, Bloomberg, ” San Francisco Fed, Fox Business, Commerce Department, Labor Department, Employers, Comerica Bank, CNN, Biden, Trump, Economic, European Central Bank, ”, JPMorgan, Bank of America’s, United Airlines, The Bank of Japan, Netflix, General Electric, Procter, Gamble, Johnson, Verizon, Lockheed, Haliburton, Tesla, IBM, Bank of Canada, Global, American Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Alaska Airlines, Co, Visa, Intel, Mobile, Comcast, Capital, US Commerce Department, Chicago Fed, US Labor Department, American Express, Colgate, Palmolive, Booz, National Association of Realtors Locations: Washington, ” San, East, Iran, Davos, Switzerland, Iowa, Swiss, United States

☆ Two important events this week could determine the future of Fed rate policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., January 19, 2024. A day later, the Commerce Department will release the December reading on the personal consumption expenditures price index, a favorite Fed inflation gauge. "That's the thing that everybody should be watching to determine what the Fed's rate path will end up being," Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said during an interview Friday on CNBC. On top of that, several of Goolsbee's colleagues, including Governor Christopher Waller, New York Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, issued commentary indicating that at the very least they are in no hurry to cut even if the hikes are probably done. watch now"I don't like tying my hands, and we still have weeks of data," Goolsbee said.

Persons: Brendan Mcdermid, Dow Jones, Austan Goolsbee, Christopher Waller, John Williams, Raphael Bostic, Goolsbee Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters Markets, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Chicago Fed, CNBC, Group, Christopher Waller , New York Fed, Atlanta Fed, Labor Department Locations: New York City, U.S, Christopher Waller , New

☆ Dollar headed for second weekly gain on tempered rates outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Dollar bills and Japanese currency Yen lying on a table on August 03, 2016 in Berlin, Germany. The dollar headed for a second weekly gain in a row on Friday on signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and caution about rate cuts from central bankers. Weekly gains on the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars of 1.7% and 2.1% are set to be the largest since November and June respectively. Rabobank revised its one-month forecast for dollar/yen to 148 from 144, expecting further unwinding of bets on the pace of U.S. rate cuts to support the dollar. An unexpected rise in British inflation also drove a sharp pullback in bets on Bank of England interest rate cuts, and leant support to sterling.

Persons: Jane Foley, Christopher Waller, Bitcoin Organizations: New, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Federal, Bank of Locations: Berlin, Germany, U.S, New Zealand, Asia, Europe, Bank of England

☆ S&P 500 closes at record high for first time in two years
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —The S&P 500 index closed Friday at a record high, fueled by surging tech stocks and bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. The benchmark index closed at 4,839.81, besting its previous high of 4,796.56, reached on January 3, 2022. Earlier in the trading session, the S&P 500 reached an intraday high of 4,832.17, topping its previous intraday high of 4,818.62, reached more than two years ago, on January 4, 2022. After a rocky start to the year, the S&P 500 has found its footing and is up about 1.5% in 2024. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record high close in December as investors cheered the Fed’s dovish tilt.

Persons: ’, Raphael Bostic, doesn’t, Christopher Waller, Austin Goolsbee, ” Goolsbee Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow, Atlanta Fed, Chicago Fed, CNBC Locations: New York

☆ Dollar holds near one-month peak as dovish Fed bets recede
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar held close to a one-month peak versus major peers on Thursday after robust U.S. retail sales data overnight added to building expectations the Federal Reserve will not rush to lower interest rates. Australia's dollar weakened after data showed an unexpected decline in employment. Traders have trimmed the odds of a first Fed rate cut by March to 53.8%, down from 63.1% on Tuesday, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. ECB President Christine Lagarde told Bloomberg there would likely be majority support among ECB officials for an interest rate cut in the summer, although she stressed they would be data-dependent. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar weakened after data showed a 65,100 drop in jobs for December, where economists had forecast a 17,600 increase.

Persons: CME's, Christopher Waller, Tony Sycamore, Sycamore, Christine Lagarde, Sterling Organizations: Reserve, U.S, hawkish Bank, Japan, Traders, IG, Bloomberg, Bank of England, British, greenback Locations: Japan

☆ Gold near 5-week low as rate-cut optimism tapers
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold bars arranged at the Korea Gold Exchange store in Seoul, South Korea, on Friday, Oct. 13, 2023. Gold prices hovered near five-week lows on Thursday, as hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and robust data dampened investors' expectation for deeper and early interest rate cuts in U.S. this year. The dollar has strengthened substantially in the past few days, putting a strain on gold prices, Brian Lan at the Singapore based dealer GoldSilver Central, said. Money markets were betting on 142 basis points of Fed rate cuts this year, while pricing in a 61% chance of a March easing, according to LSEG's interest rate probability app, IRPR. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding bullion.

Persons: Brian Lan, it's, GoldSilver's Lan, Raphael Bostic, Bostic, Christopher Waller's Organizations: Korea Gold Exchange, Federal Reserve, GoldSilver, Traders, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Singapore

The expectation of lower mortgage rates and higher demand means this year's homebuying season is shaping up to be a busy one. Though mortgage rates are expected to go down in 2024, there's no guarantee of when exactly they'll start to drop. Currently, average 30-year mortgage rates are down from their fall 2023 peak and have generally been hovering below 6.5% this month. Mortgage rates don't directly follow the Fed's benchmark rate, but investor expectations of how Fed moves could impact the broader economy can push mortgage rates up or down. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.

Persons: there's, Christopher Waller, Waller, they'll, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Brookings Institution, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron

☆ Gold extends slide as dollar firms on hawkish Fedspeak
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Gold prices extended losses on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar strengthened after hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve official dampened expectations for a March interest rate cut, while traders awaited comments from more Fed speakers this week. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $2,023.49 per ounce, as of 0415 GMT, after stooping 1.3% in the previous session - its biggest single-day decline since Dec. 4, 2023. Flow of funds to the U.S. dollar have been a key driver impacting the gold price, said Michael Langford, chief investment officer at Scorpion Minerals Ltd, forecasting bullion to trade around $2,000/Oz in the near term. With geopolitical tensions escalating, safe-haven flows could provide a floor for the gold price. However, "the short-term fate of the gold price is likely in the hands of the bond market," Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade, wrote in a note.

Persons: Michael Langford, Christopher Waller, Tim Waterer Organizations: U.S ., Federal Reserve, Scorpion Minerals Ltd, Treasury, KCM, U.S Locations: U.S

☆ Dollar at one-month high as rate cut expectations ease on Fedspeak
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The dollar index hovered at a one-month high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller dampened expectations for a March rate cut. "I will need more information in the coming months confirming or (conceivably) challenging the notion that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our inflation goal," before backing rate cuts, he said on Tuesday. Market expectations of a rate cut in March have eased to a 62.2% chance versus an 76.9% view in the prior session, according to CME's FedWatch Tool. "Rate cuts are coming but not as soon as some might be hoping for," Sycamore said. Meanwhile, the euro was hanging near a one-month low at $1.0875 after its steepest one-day percentage drop in two weeks, following comments from several ECB policymakers this week that maintained uncertainty over the timing of rate cuts.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, CME's, Tony Sycamore, Christine Lagarde, Sycamore, Sterling, Rodrigo Catril Organizations: Federal Reserve, IG, European Central Bank, Treasury, Bank of Japan, National Australia Bank Locations: U.S, Asia

☆ Treasury yields edge higher as investors monitor data and Fed comments
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Matt Clinch | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note edged higher to 4.0694%. The 2-year Treasury yield rose by around 5 basis points to trade at 4.278%. Treasury yields were higher early Wednesday, with the 10-year yield holding above 4%, as investors focused on fresh data and commentary from Federal Reserve members. On Tuesday, yields jumped after comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who suggested that while the central bank will likely cut rates this year, it may take its time. At the World Economic Forum in Davos, more European Central Bank members indicated that markets were getting ahead of themselves on rate cut projections.

Persons: FactSet, Christopher Waller, Klaas Knot, Jeff Cox, Pia Singh Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, Investors, Economic, Central Bank, CNBC Wednesday Locations: Davos, Dutch

☆ CNBC Daily Open: The Fed's rude awakening
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the headquarters of the Federal Reserve on December 13, 2023 in Washington, DC. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. China shares also fell after the country missed fourth quarter GDP estimates but met its year-end growth target of 5%. [PRO] 'Buy the dip'Morgan Stanley highlights its key picks in Europe's technology hardware sector after a "rollercoaster year" in 2023.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Christopher Waller, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wall, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Washington , DC, CNBC, Federal, Big Bank, Wall Street's Locations: Washington ,, Asia, Hong Kong, China

But I believe seeing where we are today vindicates the approach we took,” Yellen said in the prepared remarks. As President Joe Biden seeks reelection, he is trying to convince voters who are gloomy about the economy that inflation is under control and the economy is strong. An October AP-NORC poll stated that roughly three-quarters of Americans described the nation’s economy as poor. At the mayors' conference, Yellen planned to say the Biden administration's COVID-19 spending benefited states and local governments — and that had the administration’s response been smaller the U.S. economy could be worse off. Waller said inflation was slowing even as growth and hiring remain solid, a combination that he called “almost as good as it gets.”___Follow the AP's coverage of Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen at https://apnews.com/hub/janet-yellen.

Persons: Janet Yellen, “ vindicates, “, Yellen, ” Yellen, Biden, Joe Biden, Biden administration's COVID, Christopher Waller, Waller, janet, yellen Organizations: WASHINGTON, —, Democrats, U.S . Conference, Mayors, Washington , D.C, Republican, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S, Washington ,

As the Fed is able to start lowering its benchmark rate, mortgage rates should go down further in 2024. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Drop Slightly (-0.17%)The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.18%, down 17 basis points since this time last week. 20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Fall (-0.27%)The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is down somewhat from last week, and is sitting at 5.69%. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Decrease (-0.27%)The average 15-year mortgage rate is 5.39%, also down 27 points from last week.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller, you'll, It's, refinance Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brookings Institution, Federal, Zillow, FHA Locations: Chevron

Zelensky and Trump loom over DavosTwo people are having an outsize impact at the World Economic Forum, and one of them isn’t even there. One is Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s president, who put on a full-court press of business and global leaders at the forum in Davos, Switzerland. Zelensky isn’t the only leader at Davos worried about Trump. The Ukrainian leader has sought to shore up global business support. And the annual wine tasting hosted by Anthony Scaramucci, the financier and former Trump official, well, ran out of wine.

Persons: Volodymyr Zelensky, Donald Trump, Zelensky, Vladimir Putin, Andrew, Trump, Putin, “, ” Zelensky, Republican Party ”, DealBook, thumped, JPMorgan Chase, Steve Schwarzman, Blackstone, Ray Dalio, David Rubenstein, Carlyle, Michael Dell, John Kerry, Biden’s, Anthony Scaramucci, Christine Lagarde, Christopher Waller, Nelson Peltz’s, James Gorman, Morgan Stanley, Mary Barra, General Motors —, Bob Iger, Disney’s, Murray Auchincloss, Bernard Looney, Auchincloss, Yi Fuxian Organizations: Trump, Economic, Ukraine, Republican Party, Republican, JPMorgan, Congress Center, Dell, European Central Bank, Fed, Disney, General, BP, University of Wisconsin – Locations: Davos, Switzerland, Europe, Ukraine, American, Iowa, Bridgewater, China, Beijing, Russia, Britain, U.S, Asia, University of Wisconsin – Madison

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Fed's reality check
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( Shreyashi Sanyal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. European stocks ended the session lower, with fashion brand Hugo Boss tumbling 9% after lower than expected earnings. More Big Bank earningsGoldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley reported earnings on Tuesday, wrapping up results for Wall Street's biggest six lenders. Quality stocks are defined as those that have robust earnings, low debt and a stock price that's less likely to be impacted by a broad market selloff.

Persons: Hugo Boss, Christopher Waller, Li Qiang, Li, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Wall, Morgan Stanley's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Federal, Economic, Reuters, Big Bank, Wall Street's Locations: New York City, U.S, Davos, Switzerland, Beijing, China

☆ Dollar advances as traders weigh rate cut expectations, eyes on data
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Traders are back projecting cuts of 160 bps this year, up from expectations of 140 bps last week. Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said the risk is that Waller could push back on market pricing for a March cut and show a lack of urgency to normalize policy. "That said, should he even remotely validate market pricing, then we should see U.S. 2-year bond yields fall further. Markets are pricing around 120 bps of rate cuts by the Bank of England in 2024, with the first one most likely in May. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar fell 0.43% to $0.6632, while the New Zealand dollar fell 0.39% to $0.6176.

Persons: Hamish Pepper, Christopher Waller, Waller, Chris Weston, Weston, Bank's Joachim Nagel Organizations: U.S, Federal, Bank of Japan, Fed, Traders, Asset Management, Treasury, Bank of England, New Zealand Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S

In December, the policymakers collectively forecast that they would cut their rate three times this year. The Fed prefers for inflation to be about 2%, which it sees as having little negative effect on the economy. Fed officials, he added, will want to see further evidence that inflation is still on track to 2% before embarking on rate cuts. Before Waller spoke, Wall Street investors had placed a 72% likelihood of a rate cut in March, based on futures prices. Waller's comments followed similarly optimistic remarks from John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, last week.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ”, ” Waller, Waller, Krishna Guha, Waller's, ” Guha, John Williams, Williams, Powell's, ” Williams Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Fed's, of Governors, Fed, Wall Street, Brookings Institution, “, Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York

☆ Fed's Christopher Waller advocates moving 'carefully' with rate cuts
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller acknowledged Tuesday that interest rate cuts are likely this year, but said the central bank can take its time relaxing monetary policy. "When the time is right to begin lowering rates, I believe it can and should be lowered methodically and carefully," he added. "In many previous cycles ... the FOMC cut rates reactively and did so quickly and often by large amounts. I see no reason to move as quickly or cut as rapidly as in the past." In fact, traders had further ramped up expectations for 2024 to seven cuts, but brought it back to six following Waller's remarks.

Persons: Christopher Waller, Waller Organizations: Federal, Washington , D.C, Brookings Institution Locations: Washington ,

☆ A Fed Governor Reiterates That Rate Cuts Are Coming
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Jeanna Smialek | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

A prominent Federal Reserve official on Tuesday laid out a case for lowering interest rates methodically at some point this year as the economy comes into balance and inflation cools — although he acknowledged that the timing of those cuts remained uncertain. Christopher Waller, one of the Fed’s seven Washington-based officials and one of the 12 policymakers who gets to vote at its meetings, said during a speech at the Brookings Institution on Tuesday that he saw a case for cutting interest rates in 2024. “The data we have received the last few months is allowing the committee to consider cutting the policy rate in 2024,” Mr. Waller said. While noting that risks of higher inflation remain, he said “I am feeling more confident that the economy can continue along its current trajectory.”Mr. Waller suggested that the Fed should lower interest rates as inflation falls. Because interest rates do not incorporate price changes, otherwise so-called real rates that are adjusted for inflation would otherwise be climbing as inflation came down, thus weighing on the economy more and more heavily.

Persons: Christopher Waller, ” Mr, Waller, “, Mr Organizations: Federal Reserve, Brookings Institution Locations: Washington

☆ Cramer likes this health care stock that has corrected but whose fundamentals are improving
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Paulina Likos | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch audio feature in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer said is looking for stocks that have fallen after a big run but whose fundamentals are improving, like GE Healthcare . As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.

Persons: Jim Cramer, Stocks, Christopher Waller, Ruth Porat, Morgan Stanley, Danaher, Estee Lauder, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Fed, Bloomberg, GE Healthcare, Nvidia, Palo, Disney, ESPN, NFL, JPMorgan Healthcare, Bank, DuPont, Bank of America, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Davos, Palo Alto

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